Money

Are Upwork and Fiverr dying? What the 2026 filings show

Fiverr's buyer count fell 21.9% in a year. Upwork cut its own 2026 revenue forecast by $102 million. Both filings point at the same shrinking end.

The Editors · 11 min read · Updated


An office with a lot of desks and chairs

Both are shrinking. Neither is anywhere near closing. Fiverr's annual active buyers fell to 2.7 million as of June 30, 2026, down 21.9% from 3.4 million a year earlier, and it now guides to full-year revenue of $356 million to $372 million, a drop of 14% to 17% (Fiverr 6-K, July 29, 2026). Upwork's active clients fell 4% to 763,000 over the same twelve months, and it guides to $730 million to $750 million against $787.8 million booked in 2025 (Upwork 8-K, August 10, 2026). The buyers who stayed are spending more. Fiverr's spend per buyer reached $368, up 15.6%. Upwork's GSV per active client reached $5,230, the highest it has published.

So the answer depends on what you mean by dying. The companies are profitable. The low-ticket half of what they sell is disappearing.

The scoreboard, side by side

Both columns are the second quarter of 2026, taken from each company's own filing.

FiverrUpwork
FiledJuly 29, 2026August 10, 2026
Revenue$97.8M, down 10.0% y/y$191.7M, down 2% y/y
Marketplace revenue$63.1M, down 15.5% y/y$166.9M, down 2% y/y
Buyers or clients2.7M annual active buyers, down 21.9%763,000 active clients, down 4%
Spend per buyer or client$368, up 15.6%$5,230 GSV per client, up 5%
Volume through the platformtake rate 28.0% on a trailing yearGSV $966.4M, down 3.6%
Adjusted EBITDA$17.5M, down from $21.4M$64.1M, up 12%
GAAP net income$4.5M$25.4M, down 22%
2026 revenue guidance$356M to $372M$730M to $750M

Two cautions on reading that table across. The metrics are not defined identically: Fiverr counts an annual active buyer over a trailing twelve months and reports spend per buyer on the same basis, while Upwork reports active clients and GSV per active client under its own key definitions. GSV means gross services volume, the total value of work billed through the platform before the company takes its cut. Upwork's revenue is roughly twice Fiverr's, so equal percentage moves are not equal amounts of money.

Both companies promised investors a different 2026

This is the part the coverage skips, and it is where the filings get interesting.

In February 2026, Upwork's CFO told the market the company expected "4% to 6% GSV growth and 6% to 8% revenue growth for the year," and put full-year guidance at $835 million to $850 million (Upwork 8-K, February 9, 2026). On May 7 that came down to $760 million to $790 million (Upwork 8-K, May 7, 2026). On August 10 it came down again, to $730 million to $750 million.

Upwork's own 2026 revenue forecast, midpoint of each guidance range
2025 actual$787.8M2026 forecast, February$842.5M2026 forecast, May$775M2026 forecast, August$740M
Source: Upwork 8-K filings, February 9, May 7 and August 10, 2026

The midpoint moved from $842.5 million to $740 million in six months. That is a cut of $102.5 million, or 12.2%, and the arithmetic is ours applied to their published ranges. The August midpoint sits below what Upwork actually earned in 2025.

Fiverr's path was different. It opened the year already forecasting a decline: $380 million to $420 million, or minus 12% to minus 3% (Fiverr 6-K, February 18, 2026). It held that range in April (Fiverr 6-K, April 29, 2026), then cut in July to $356 million to $372 million. Midpoint down from $400 million to $364 million: a $36 million cut, or 9.0%.

Full-year 2026 revenue guidance, midpointFiverrUpwork
February 2026$400M$842.5M
April or May 2026$400M (held)$775M
July or August 2026$364M$740M
Cut since February$36M, 9.0%$102.5M, 12.2%

Fiverr is shrinking faster. Upwork was more wrong about it.

Both statements come out of the same filings, and they answer different questions.

Fiverr's business is in worse shape by every level measure. Revenue grew 10.1% in 2025 to $430.9 million. The 2026 midpoint of $364 million is 15.5% below that. Its buyer count is down more than a fifth, its marketplace revenue is down 15.5%, and its adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 19.7% to 17.9%. A company going from plus 10% to minus 15.5% in one year is a company where something broke.

Upwork's numbers are steadier and its forecasting was worse. It grew 2% in 2025, and its August guidance implies about minus 6% for 2026. That is a smaller swing. But Upwork spent February telling investors 2026 would be a growth year, and by August was guiding to a year smaller than 2025. Fiverr told the market in February that 2026 would shrink and was directionally right from the start.

That matters for anyone using Upwork's relative calm as evidence the model is fine. Upwork's Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose 12% to $64.1 million on a 33% margin, while its GAAP net income fell 22% and its free cash flow fell 45%, to $35.9 million from $65.6 million. Rising margins on falling volume is what managing a decline looks like. Upwork is good at it. The volume still fell.

Fewer buyers, bigger buyers

The single most useful pattern in both filings: buyer counts are falling faster than revenue. That only happens when the buyers who leave were the small ones.

Fiverr lost 21.9% of its buyers and 15.5% of its marketplace revenue. Spend per buyer went the other way, from $318 to $368. Its take rate rose from 27.6% to 28.0% on a trailing-year basis. And the one growth number in the release is at the top end: clients completing projects of $1,000 or more grew 13% year over year on a trailing twelve-month basis.

Upwork shows the same shape with less violence. Clients down 4%, GSV per client up 5% to a record $5,230, GSV down 3.6%. Its Business Plus offering for small and mid-sized businesses grew GSV 174% year over year, and GSV from AI-related work grew more than 22%.

Both CEOs describe the same mechanism. Fiverr's Micha Kaufman: "While AI absorbs high-volume, low-value, transactional tasks, it is also unlocking the need for longer duration projects where AI tools enhance human expertise, workflow management, and accountability." Upwork's Hayden Brown: "While lower-complexity work continues to shift toward automation, we are increasingly seeing what is emerging in its place: growing demand for high-value AI talent, more complex projects, and new categories of work."

Read those as company positioning, because that is what they are. The filings support the first half of each claim clearly. The second half, the part where high-value work replaces the lost volume, is the part neither company's revenue line shows yet.

Freelancer.com fell as hard, for reasons of its own

The third listed generalist marketplace does not settle the argument, and it is worth saying why rather than counting it as a third vote.

Freelancer Limited reported its half-year to June 30, 2026 on July 28, 2026. Its Freelancer segment revenue fell about 23% to A$14.9 million and segment GMV fell about 20% to roughly A$42 million (Staffing Industry Analysts, July 2026). On the surface that is a steeper fall than Fiverr's.

Management attributed it mostly to its own platform. Enhanced integrity controls and two-factor authentication added login friction for legitimate users, AI scraping disrupted site stability and search rankings, and a payment gateway migration exposed acceptance problems (SmallCaps, July 2026). Group GMV rose about 31% to A$574.6 million on strength at Escrow.com and Loadshift, businesses that have nothing to do with freelancing.

Two reports of the same release also disagree on the group figures: Staffing Industry Analysts gives group revenue of A$23.7 million and a net loss of A$2.1 million, SmallCaps gives A$23.9 million and a net loss of A$0.3 million after a A$2.4 million impairment. We have not reconciled them against the ASX filing, so treat the group numbers as unconfirmed and the segment numbers, which both sources agree on, as reliable.

Counting Freelancer as proof that AI is eating marketplaces would be picking the convenient reading of a company that says its own login flow was the problem.

What this means if you sell on these platforms

Four things fall out of the numbers, and none of them is a recommendation to do anything.

The price of your average job predicts your exposure better than the platform you chose. Both marketplaces are losing buyers at the bottom and holding them at the top. A $40 logo gig and a $4,000 systems integration are on opposite sides of the same trend, on either site.

Take rates went up while volume went down. Fiverr's marketplace take rate rose to 28.0% from 27.6%. When a platform is shrinking and profitable, the cost of being on it tends to rise, not fall.

Upwork's client base is roughly one third of Fiverr's buyer count and spends fourteen times as much each. 763,000 clients at $5,230 against 2.7 million buyers at $368. Those are different businesses wearing the same category label. For a fuller read on what each pays, see our reference page on what Upwork and Fiverr actually report freelancers earn.

Platform claims and platform filings do not always agree. We covered the gap when Upwork said AI freelancers earn 34% more and its own filings said something different, and the pattern of buyer loss when Fiverr's Q2 print landed in July 2026.

What could make this page wrong

Guidance is a forecast, not a result. Upwork's $102.5 million cut measures how far management moved its own estimate, which is a measure of forecasting, not of the business. A company that starts the year with an aggressive number will cut by more than one that starts cautious, and Upwork did start higher.

Fiverr's Q3 2026 guidance of $80 million to $88 million implies a decline of 18% to 26%, steeper than any quarter it has posted. If that lands closer to the top of the range, the "shrinking faster" read holds. If it lands at the bottom, Fiverr's position is worse than this page describes.

And neither company has yet shown the high-value work replacing the lost volume in revenue. Fiverr says it will take at least six quarters. That claim is testable every ninety days.

What to watch

Fiverr's Q3 2026 report, due around late October 2026, and whether the $80 million to $88 million range holds.

Whether Upwork guides 2027 to growth or to another decline, and whether the February pattern repeats.

Whether spend per buyer keeps rising. It is the cleanest single number on the health of the upmarket shift: if buyers keep leaving and the ones who stay stop spending more, the thesis both companies are selling stops working.

Whether Freelancer's segment recovers in its second half, which would confirm its decline was self-inflicted rather than structural.

What changed

  • August 28, 2026. First published, built on Upwork's 8-K filings of February 9, May 7 and August 10, 2026, Fiverr's 6-K filings of February 18, April 29 and July 29, 2026, and reporting on Freelancer Limited's half-year results released July 28, 2026.

Sources

This is not financial advice.


ShareXLinkedIn

The newsletter

Get this in your inbox

One email when there's something worth your attention. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.


More from Money

See all →